This is an interesting match up of contrasting styles with Airforce top 5 in running play %, and Cal top 5 in passing play %. The Mountain West has done great this bowl game going 5-1 ATS, but so has the PAC 12 at 4-1 ATS. Actually the Mountain West is 10-9 head to head with the PAC 12 in bowl games, but went 2-10 this season. However, I still think this match up is in favor of Air Force. The last time we had a similar match up with Georgia Southern vs. Bowling Green, in styles of play and I went with the running team and I’m doing the same here.

I have much more confidence in Air Force’s having success running the ball and controlling this game than I do in California lighting up the scoreboard and making stops. Air Force has ran for more than 200 yards in every single game this season except Army, who defends the triple option very well (ask Keenan Reynolds). California has given up 185+ yards rushing 7 times and is 3-4 in those games. They have had major issues against QB’s that can run, and I just don’t see how they can keep Air Force out of the end zone.

With all of that said Jared Goff is probably heading to the NFL, Sony Dykes interviewed for a few different jobs so I don’t really even know that Cal is truly focused for this game. Air Force’s defense is good enough to get stops and will be aggressive and take chances. This is a team that was competitive against Michigan State on the road. They outgained Michigan State by over 100 yards in that game, but had 3 turnovers. I see Air Force rushing for over 300 yards in this game and if they can avoid the turnovers they should get a win.

Where to find Freddy?